Perspectivele pieței avicole - decembrie

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In June, broiler prices varied heterogeneously, as market conditions continued to improve following a quiet winter (HPAI). The price decline compared to 2023 and low inflation are stimulating demand, particularly for processed products and in the foodservice sector. Global growth is expected to reach 2% in 2024, driven by emerging markets, while slow growth is anticipated in the EU and USA.

Global Broiler chicken market prices-June2024

BROILER CHICKEN PRICE OVERVIEW – EUROPE

As summer approaches, synonymous with a decrease in demand, chicken prices remain stable and slightly increase. Despite the strong recovery in production in the first half of 2024, prices remain relatively high due to sustained demand. EU imports increased significantly in April (+28%), mainly from Ukraine and the United Kingdom. The second quarter of 2024 marks the return of EU exports to Asia and Africa after two years of decline due to inflation and HPAI.

EU_Broiler chicken market prices without UK in $- June2024 – Sources : *EC Agridata, Banquede France, Ceva*

BROILER CHICKEN PRICE OVERVIEW – USA

In June, HPAI outbreaks reached its lowest level since the beginning of the year, primarily affecting turkey farms. Chicken production decreased by 1% year-on-year in May. As the holidays approach, demand for chicken breasts remains light. Prices for wings and thighs remain stable. Heat and humid weather have some effect on bird sizes, affecting the supply of heavy broilers. Chicken exports continued to decline in May (-14%) with significant decreases to China (-73%), Taiwan (-60%), and the Philippines (-30%).

USA - Whole Broiler market price - June2024 — USA – Whole Broiler market price – June2024 – *Sources: USDA AMS reports, Ceva*

BROILER CHICKEN PRICE OVERVIEW – BRAZIL

In late June, demand drove prices up after a downward trend since the beginning of the year. Production losses in Rio Grande do Sul impacted supply, boosting demand for live chickens in neighboring states. For farmers, profitability remains balanced. The broiler chick market has been trending upwards since late May. Industry players expect positive margins to continue in the S2 2024 due to favorable feed prices and dynamic demand, particularly in exports. In June, exports fell by 2.5% due to a decline in sales to China (-22%) and Japan (-23%.

Whole Broiler market price BRAZIL in BReals -June2024 — Whole Broiler market price BRAZIL in BReals – June2024, Sources: Cepea, Ceva

Whole Broiler market price BRAZIL in $ -June2024 – Sources : *Sources: Cepea, Banque de France, Ceva*

BROILER CHICKEN PRICE OVERVIEW – CHINA

In June, chicken prices continued to decline due to decreased demand and high supply. The supply of white-feathered chicken is expected to decrease in S2, which would support a price recovery. Parent stock saw a slight decline in June (-0.6%). For yellow chicken, the limited supply supported prices in June. The currently low breeder flock stock is likely to keep prices high in the S2 2024. Tensions over chicken paws supplies persisted in June due to an 83% decrease in imports from the USA (HPAI), which was not compensated by other countries.

China_Broiler chicken cash price in $ - June2024 — China_Broiler chicken cash price in $ – June2024 – Sources: *Chinese National Development and Reform Commission, Banque de France, Ceva*

China_Broiler chicken cash price in CNY - June2024 — China_Broiler chicken cash price in CNY – June2024, Sources: *Chinese National Development and Reform Commission, Banque de France, Ceva*

POULTRY MARKET WATCH is a monthly newsletter edited by Ceva Headquarters Libourne, France) Editor-in-chief: Caroline Gremillet, Ceva. Writers: Caroline Gremillet Market Data) Mohamed Bouizidi ABCIS, Poultry Market Analysis)All figures are from public sources and when using them, you are required to acknowledge their original sources and Ceva’s reprocessing. Experts in animal sectors – ABCIS